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Land-based gambling bans do not impact crime rates: A study using the synthetic control method in the Czech Republic

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View Open Access Article View Snapshot Back to Search Results

snapshot summaries


Author(s): Žofčák, Jakub

Journal: Journal of Gambling Studies

Year Published: 2024

Date Added: July 09, 2024

The purpose of this study was to examine whether a land-based gambling ban has an impact on crime in the Czech Republic. The researchers used the synthetic control method in this study. In this method, there is at least one treated unit and a control group that is created as a weighted average of several untreated units. The treated group for this study included four cities in Czech Republic that banned land-based gambling during or after 2017. The untreated group included 11 cities that do not currently have a ban in place and had land-based games in operation from 2013 to 2021. Using a crime index which included updated data on crime every 6 months, the researchers obtained 17 observations for each city. The researchers divided the observations into a pre-treatment period (up to the beginning of 2017) and a post-treatment period.

By using the synthetic control method, a close match could be established between the three treated cities and the control cities in the pre-treatment period. The researchers found that all treated cities had about the same crime rate as they would have without the ban. These cities had roughly the same crime rate after they introduced a land-based gambling ban as the control cities without a ban. Thus, a land-based gambling ban appeared to have no effect on crime rate.


Citation: Žofčák, J., & Šíma, J. (2024). Using the synthetic control method to evaluate the impact of a land-based gambling ban on crime. Journal of Gambling Studies. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10899-024-10281-y

Article DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10899-024-10281-y

Keywords: crime ; criminal behaviour ; gambling ; land-based gambling

Topics: Comorbidities ; Crime and Deviance

Conceptual Framework Factors:   Social - Deviance ; Social Factors

Study Design: Observational: Case Control

Geographic Coverage: Czech Republic

Study Population: Four cities with a land-based gambling ban and eleven cities without such a ban as control

Sampling Procedure: The researchers selected four cities with a land-based gambling ban (Klatovy, Domažlice, Písek and Český Krumlov) as the treated cities. They selected 11 cities that did not have a land-based gambling ban or had cancelled the ban during the study period (2013–2021).

Study Funding:

Open access publishing was supported by the National Technical Library in Prague. This study was an output of a project which was supported by a grant within the student grant competition at Jan Evangelista Purkyně University.

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