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Predicting problem gambling with machine learning models: Insights from player tracking data across three countries

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View Open Access Article View Snapshot Back to Search Results

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Author(s): Hopfgartner, Niklas ; Auer, Michael M. ; Helic, Denis ; Griffiths, Mark D.

Journal: International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction

Year Published: 2024

Date Added: July 31, 2024

In this study, the researchers used player tracking data to evaluate whether behavioural indicators could predict problem gambling using machine learning models. The data were obtained from 1,743 adults from the UK, Canada, and Spain who played online casino games. The researchers found that behavioural indicators (e.g., frequent deposits within a session) were more important than monetary indicators (e.g., total amount of money gambled) in predicting problem gambling. The five machine learning models employed in this study showed promising results in predicting problem gambling. Including country-specific data improved their accuracy. Nevertheless, the models performed well even without training using country-specific data. The findings suggest that there are behavioural indicators that can be used across diverse contexts to identify problem gambling.


Citation: Hopfgartner, N., Auer, M., Helic, D., & Griffiths, M. D. (2024). Using artificial intelligence algorithms to predict self-reported problem gambling among online casino gamblers from different countries using account-based player data. International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11469-024-01312-1

Article DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11469-024-01312-1

Keywords: artificial intelligence ; machine learning ; problem gambling ; Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI) ; responsible gambling ; safer gambling

Topics: Gambling Assessment ; Gambling Resources ; Information for Operators

Conceptual Framework Factors:   Environment - Responsible Gambling ; Resources - Risk Assessment ; Gambling Resources

Study Design: Secondary Data Analysis

Geographic Coverage: Canada ; Spain ; United Kingdom

Study Population: People who gambled in online casino games and completed the PGSI (n = 1,743)

Sampling Procedure: The researchers were given access to a secondary dataset of people who gambled in online casino games and completed the nine items of the PGSI between January 2022 and November 2023. No other information was provided on sampling procedure.

Study Funding:

This study received no direct funding.

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