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Testing the temporal stability of artificial intelligence models in identifying people at risk of gambling-related harms

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View Open Access Article View Snapshot Back to Search Results

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Author(s): Murch, W. Spencer ; Kairouz, Sylvia ; French, Martin

Journal: Computers in Human Behavior Reports

Year Published: 2024

Date Added: August 08, 2024

Machine learning is one subfield of artificial intelligence (AI). Some AI models have been developed using risk thresholds based on the Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI) to identify people experiencing harms. But the performance of AI models may worsen over time. The researchers developed two machine learning models in 2019. These models sought to detect people at a high risk of experiencing gambling harms in the last year (PGSI scores = 8+) and people at moderate-to-high risk (PGSI scores = 5+).

This study assessed the stability of the models developed in 2019 using data collected in 2022. Participants were 11,258 adult account holders (18+ years) on the Canadian gambling website lotoquebec.com. Participants completed the PGSI and agreed to provide their past-year account data to the researchers. The researchers noted that there were some changes in the models’ performance over time. After some minor adjustments made to the models’ decision thresholds, the two models were still able to correctly identify people at risk of harms using indicators of online gambling behaviours.


Citation: Murch, W. S., Kairouz, S., & French, M. (2024). Establishing the temporal stability of machine learning models that detect online gambling-related harms. Computers in Human Behavior Reports, 14, 100427. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chbr.2024.100427

Article DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chbr.2024.100427

Keywords: artificial intelligence ; behavioural addictions ; machine learning ; online gambling ; prevention ; problem gambling

Topics: Gambling Resources ; Information for Operators ; Online Gambling ; Prevention

Conceptual Framework Factors:   Exposure - Gambling Setting ; Types - Structural Characteristics ; Exposure - Accessibility ; Resources - Risk Assessment ; Psychological Factors ; Resources - Harm Reduction, Prevention, and Protection ; Gambling Resources

Study Design: Descriptive: Survey

Geographic Coverage: Canada

Study Population: Adult account holders (18+ years) on the Canadian gambling website lotoquebec.com (n=11,258).

Sampling Procedure: Account holders on the Canadian gambling website lotoquebec.com were sent a message on the site inviting them to complete an online survey about their gambling experiences. Participants also consented to the use of their account data in the past 12 months prior to survey completion.

Study Funding:

This study received funding from a Concordia University Horizon Postdoctoral Fellowship, a fellowship from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, the Research Chair on Gambling, and l’équipe Jeu responsible à l’ère numérique.

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